Thoughts on economics and liberty

Category: My publications

List of my free-of-cost writings on COVID mismanagement

In August 2021 someone who had bought my book, wrote to me:

I purchased another copy of your ‘The Great Hysteria and the Broken State‘ book for a totally propagandised Professor who admitted it was for him – a real eye-opener. Thank you.

While I do get a TINY royalty when you buy my book, you don’t have to purchase it to get people to open their eyes: You can share my FREE OF COST articles and writings – some of which are listed below:

Of course, I’ve written a lot elsewhere, including on social media. Telegram is the best place to go for my comments, since others have blocked my comments and even (like Twitter) banned me (although I have established a second account on Twitter – but it is entirely at the mercy of Twitter criminals).

 

Continue Reading
Continue Reading

My 2018 article in Times of India print edition regarding farm sector reform

Noting here: Get out of farmers’ way: In the end government interventions end up sustaining, not reducing, rural poverty

While most other sectors were liberalised in 1991, agriculture was not. Indian farmers arguably remain among the most unfree in the world.

Some claim India won’t be able to feed itself without the government playing a hands-on role in agriculture. But countries like New Zealand and Australia with liberalised agriculture have become more productive. Each Australian farmer produces enough to feed 600 people, 150 at home and 450 overseas. Liberalisation of agriculture in 1991 in India could well have made us a middle-income nation by now. Instead, our small farmers remain under chronic stress.

Another argument, sometimes made, is that farmers are frequently seen to agitate for government support. That’s not necessarily true. Farmer organisations like the Kisan Coordination Committee and Shetkari Sangathana have for decades opposed government intervention in agriculture. After their leader Sharad Joshi passed away in 2015, new leaders like Anil Ghanwat have vigorously argued for the government to leave farmers alone.

As a liberal party, we oppose all statist approaches, including in agriculture. Thus, we oppose MS Swaminathan’s recommendations that we believe will create an even more interventionist bureaucratic state and increase farmer dependence on subsidies. Swaminathan’s scientific credentials are impeccable but he may like to seek expert advice on the workings and benefits of a free market price system.

Illustration: Chad Crowe

India’s farm sector restrictions and subsidies end up distorting incentives. This has led to insufficient use of modern technology, low and volatile agricultural productivity growth, excessive ground water withdrawal, poor soil fertility and declining agro-biodiversity. In the end government interventions end up sustaining, not reducing, rural poverty.

The government should therefore get out of the way of farmers. Deregulation must start from the Constitution. Land ceiling laws and the entire Ninth Schedule must be repealed. The Essential Commodities Act must go. Restrictions on the slaughter and trade of cattle must be lifted. So also restrictions, including ‘dumping’ restrictions, on untrammelled global free trade of all agricultural produce and commodities: whether onion, sugar or oilseeds.

Barriers to the import of farm technology must go, and also any remaining restrictions on the domestic movement, storage and processing of agricultural commodities – such as the minimum distance requirement between farm and mills. The whole apparatus of Agricultural Produce Marketing Committees must go. The minimum support price system must be disbanded.

These liberalisation measures will boost domestic and foreign private investment in agriculture. One can then expect to see high quality markets and cold chains for farm produce. Hundreds of millions of farmers will get a new lease of life from the injection of capital.

In addition all subsidies must go, with a suggested three-year transition period. Everyone ends up paying for subsidies either through taxes or through inflation while the benefits of subsidies are captured mainly by the rich, including fertiliser producers, rich farmers, corrupt politicians and bureaucrats. Some subsidies, such as for power, have perverse consequences through excessive use of groundwater. During the transitional period some sweeteners can be introduced, such as a moratorium on principal amounts owed by farmers.

Apart from getting out of the way, the government will need to play a new, stewardship role. This will include facilitating futures markets to smoothen prices and motivate private investment in grain storage. Likewise, government will need to facilitate a well-regulated crop insurance market and private laboratory networks for soil testing and certification of produce.

None of this will, however, be possible without critically needed governance reforms that deliver the rule of law and strong property rights. Without that, any new investments will get bogged down in our typically corrupt, bureaucratic quagmires.

The farm sector particularly needs a good land records management system that supports the easy confirmation of ownership, valuation, and trade of land. Change in land use, particularly in the vicinity of towns and cities, is another key issue. Land use decisions today can feel like a minefield to investors, with a mix of corruption and delays.

Instead of a discretionary system, we need a non-discretionary way to allow markets to determine the best and highest use of land. This can be done through the auction of development rights with a reserve price that includes funding for appropriate infrastructure and compensation for any negative externalities. With such a system we won’t need to reserve any land for the farm sector; markets will provide the right answer.

There is one area which will need much greater government involvement: enforcing incentive-based regulation, including through Pigovian taxes, to deal with pollution, preserve biodiversity and motivate water-saving technologies to sustain the water table. Farmers must pay the full price for any negative externalities they impose.

But with around 70% of India’s population still living in villages, agriculture sector reforms will not be enough. Mining sector reforms are needed to provide employment to lakhs of people in locations close to their homes. Education sector privatisation with a focus on vocational education is needed to allow millions of farm-related workers to move into manufacturing and construction. Our party’s manifesto details many such reforms.

Two hundred years ago, 90% of a typical Western economy had linkages with agriculture. Today, this figure is just 5%. India is best advised to go through market driven restructuring in order to avoid lumpy adjustments, minimise social stress and give every Indian an equal opportunity to succeed.

 

Continue Reading

My op-ed in The Australian today – demolishing the covid hysteria and lockdowns

My op-ed in today’s Australian. Key points:

1) Sweden’s 2-yr average death rate will likely be the second lowest in ten years. This has been a “bad flu” but less lethal than the Hong Kong flu.

2) Lockdowns have only been used once in 500 years: for Ebola, and were not effective even for it. “When lockdowns are rejected by the science even for a lethal virus such as Ebola, the idea of lockdowns being applied for a flu-like virus does not arise”.

3) Vaccine can be helpful for those >75. Compulsion would amount to the same intellectual and spiritual cowardice that we’ve seen throughout 2020.

https://www.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/swedish-covid19-data-exposes-our-fatal-lockdown-hysteria/news-story/673291a65d3ad15d49fe22846c1d60c8

The high resolution image of the article at https://sanjeev.sabhlokcity.com/Misc/Op-ed-TheAustralian-30December2020.png

Print edition snapshot.

FURTHER LETTER TO EDITOR TO REFUTE THE CHINA DENIERS

Letter published in The Australian on 1 January 2020

UNDERLYING SPREADSHEETS

  1. Estimate of annual deaths
  2. Estimate of death rates.
Continue Reading
Social media & sharing icons powered by UltimatelySocial