10th September 2021
Further bad analysis by Alex Berenson
Someone shared this BAD analysis by Alex Berenson: https://alexberenson.substack.com/p/a-chart-of-covid-deaths-in-britain
Don’t rely on Alex Berenson. He’s a good man with a bad understanding of statistics.
This is just how any pandemic behaves. Sweden’s data are very similar – without lockdons. And India’s – with lockdowns but with hardly any vaccines (of course, India’s death rates are dramatically lower than those in the UK/Sweden since India has a very small proportion of its population over the age of 75, but the pattern is the same). All pandemics run out of steam after a couple of seasons and become endemic.
From the UK data it is therefore impossible to determine whether the dramatic reduction in deaths they are seeing is due to vaccines or due to natural immunity. Anders Tegnell had said that many months ago, as well, that we will find it very hard to distinguish vaccine effects from natural immunity. In any event, it is wrong to claim from this chart, as Berenson tries, that the vaccines don’t work. We know for sure that natural immunity works (since India has very few covid deaths now without vaccines) but can say nothing meaningful about the vaccines from this information. Covid is now like the regular seasonal flu in most parts of the world, e.g. the UK and India. Vaccines have not eliminated the flu, and so will covid vaccines fail to eliminate covid . Some vaccinated people will get covid and also die.
There are other charts that do suggest that vaccines might actually work. E.g. https://t.me/c/1267973254/11273. With billions of people vaccinated across the world, we should start seeing more of this type of data. Within the next 3 months we ought to have confirmed proofs whether these vaccines actually prevent deaths.