Thoughts on economics and liberty

Second and third waves of the virus – some notes

This is a placeholder post. I’m convinced (and have written about in TOI many times now) that there is no way eradicate the virus – particularly within large countries like India or China.

We see that even in Wuhan:

More alarming are the new cluster of infections in Wuhan, the central Chinese city where cases of the novel coronavirus were first detected late last year. Wuhan was the first city in the world to enter into lockdown, only returning to relative normality late last month after 76-days.

On Monday, city officials said five new cases had been confirmed in the city, none of which were imported from overseas. While that is a far cry from the figures at the beginning of the crisis, or those being reported daily across much of western Europe and the United States right now, the apparent ability of the virus to continue spreading undetected — especially in a city as intensely surveilled and restricted as Wuhan — will lead to concerns about the viability of reopening. [Source]

Countries that reopened are closing down again amid spike in coronavirus infections -13 May

Beware of the second wave of COVID-19 – The Lancet – 8 April 2020

How bad could a second wave of coronavirus infections be, and where could they strike? – 9 April 2020

Economists warn of costly second wave – 24 April 2020

Coronavirus may last 2 years, study warns. And its second wave could be worse. – 1 May 2020

What We Know About the Second Wave of the Coronavirus – 1 May 2020

Sanjeev Sabhlok

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