11th May 2020
Second and third waves of the virus – some notes
This is a placeholder post. I’m convinced (and have written about in TOI many times now) that there is no way eradicate the virus – particularly within large countries like India or China.
We see that even in Wuhan:
More alarming are the new cluster of infections in Wuhan, the central Chinese city where cases of the novel coronavirus were first detected late last year. Wuhan was the first city in the world to enter into lockdown, only returning to relative normality late last month after 76-days.
On Monday, city officials said five new cases had been confirmed in the city, none of which were imported from overseas. While that is a far cry from the figures at the beginning of the crisis, or those being reported daily across much of western Europe and the United States right now, the apparent ability of the virus to continue spreading undetected — especially in a city as intensely surveilled and restricted as Wuhan — will lead to concerns about the viability of reopening. [Source]
Beware of the second wave of COVID-19 – The Lancet – 8 April 2020
Economists warn of costly second wave – 24 April 2020